Calvin Austin III (PIT) Under 1.5 Receptions (-152)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Analyzing Calvin Austin III's recent performance and trends, the Under 1.5 player receptions bet for him seems to be a solid choice. His hit rates and streaks have been consistently under the 1.5 mark. Even when considering the matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, who have a strong pass defense, it is unlikely he'll see a sudden bump in receptions. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.135320156108305 suggests that the statistical model used to predict game outcomes believes there's a significant advantage for this bet. The lower the model edge, the higher the probability of the outcome. Thus, the data-driven rationale suggests that Austin III is more likely to have fewer than 1.5 receptions in the Steelers vs Texans game. Therefore, betting on 'Under 1.5' is a statistically sound decision.