Calvin Austin III (PIT) Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Analyzing Calvin Austin III's recent performance and trends, it's statistically reasonable to bet Under 13.5 on 'player_reception_yds'. Austin III's average in his last five games appears to be lower than the proposed 13.5 yards, which indicates a trend of not meeting this mark. Moreover, the Steelers have been strong defensively against the pass, reducing the opportunities for receivers to rack up significant yards. The model edge, a measure of the expected value of this bet, is positive at 0.031, suggesting that there's a higher probability of this outcome. Furthermore, the Dolphins' passing offense has not been particularly potent, which further reduces Austin III's chances of exceeding 13.5 reception yards. Therefore, statistically, betting Under 13.5 yards for Austin III seems to be a solid choice.