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Model picks & player props
MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Wed 17 Jun 2026, 12:40 PM ET
New York Mets
VS
Cincinnati Reds

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds and backs Cincinnati Reds -1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $330.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Cincinnati Reds
to win by 2+ runs
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$33.00Best price+230
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win58.9%
The price says30.3%

The model graded 20 markets for New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $330 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 17 Jun 2026, 12:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Cincinnati Reds -1.5 Lean59% chance +230
Spread Members only Lean54% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High68% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean59% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds last met on Wed 17 Jun 2026: New York Mets won 9-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Cincinnati Reds
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut

Cincinnati Reds

  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Dane Myers CFOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Chase Burns SPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 4:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs New York Mets L52-3

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs New York Mets L52-3

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs New York MetsNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
3.5runs we expect
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs New York Mets L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5TORAway
W5–1TORAway
L5–6TORAway
W7–6ATLAway
L2–3ATLAway
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.6 runs per game (3-2) while New York Mets are at 3.4 (2-3); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 1.2 earned runs per game versus 3.8 for New York Mets.

4.6
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
3.4
New York Mets runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsNew York Mets
Runs / game4.63.4
Hits / game4.04.6
Home runs / game1.60.6
Walks drawn / game2.62.6
Batter K / game3.24.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.23.8
Pitching K / game3.04.2
Walks allowed / game2.42.4
L5 record3-22-3

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 4, New York Mets won 2.

DateCincinnati RedsNew York MetsWinner
Jun 1719New York Mets
Jun 1653Cincinnati Reds
Jun 15120Cincinnati Reds
May 2724New York Mets
May 2672Cincinnati Reds
May 2572Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Dane Myers CFOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Chase Burns SPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Cincinnati Reds playing New York Mets. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets stats and odds.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets : Over 10 Total Runs (+125)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Reds, or as Reds vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 17 June 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds head-to-head record

Final scores · 24 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 14–10 across the last 24 meetings · these games average 7.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 17 Jun 2026, New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds: the Mets won 9-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
17 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds1–9New York Mets
16 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds5–3Cincinnati Reds
15 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds12–0Cincinnati Reds
27 May 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets4–2New York Mets
26 May 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets2–7Cincinnati Reds
25 May 2026Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets2–7Cincinnati Reds
7 Sep 2025New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds3–2Cincinnati Reds
6 Sep 2025New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds6–3Cincinnati Reds
5 Sep 2025New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds4–5New York Mets
20 Jul 2025Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets3–2New York Mets

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 24 meetings on file.

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