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NCAAF

Yannick Smith

SMU

Value call

Yannick Smith has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $169 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
5.9 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.6% · before adjusting for past results 93.3% · the book's price implies 59.2% · gap -1.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs
Fri 6 Nov, 7:00 PM ET
Yannick Smith
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions Over 3.5 -145 (1.69) · $100→$169
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.90 Odds-145
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Yannick Smith is Over 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 11, 5:06PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$6,842 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions93.3%57.6%59.2%1.74+37.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Tech Hokies: Yannick Smith Over 3.5 Receptions (-145)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, SMU Mustangs host Virginia Tech Hokies in college football. The bet we are looking at is Yannick Smith Over 3.5 Receptions. This wins if Yannick Smith finishes with more than 3.5 receptions. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Receptions 3.5 Over -145 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ SMU Mustangs Receiving Yards 66.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 California Golden Bears @ SMU Mustangs Receiving Yards 65.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Yannick Smith (SMU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Yannick Smith is Over 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +37.6% on this pick. Their next game is Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs on Friday 6 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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