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NCAAF

Kendrick Raphael

SMU

Value call

Kendrick Raphael has one live pick today: under 2.5 receptions that pays $192 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
2.1 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.4% · before adjusting for past results 60.0% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap -3.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs
Fri 6 Nov, 7:00 PM ET
Kendrick Raphael
under 2.5 receptions
Receptions Under 2.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.17 Odds-109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kendrick Raphael is Under 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 11, 4:52PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$6,842 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions60.0%48.4%52.1%2.04+11.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Tech Hokies: Kendrick Raphael Under 2.5 Receptions (-109)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, SMU Mustangs host Virginia Tech Hokies in college football. The bet we are looking at is Kendrick Raphael Under 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Kendrick Raphael finishes with fewer than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.17 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (34 picks) 61.8% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Receptions 2.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Rushing Yards 75.5 Over -110 ✗ MISS
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Rushing Yards 80.5 Over -112 ✗ MISS
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Rushing Yards — — — Pending
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
06 Nov 26 Virginia Tech Hokies @ SMU Mustangs Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kendrick Raphael (SMU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 61.8% on tracked Kendrick Raphael picks. The latest model pick for Kendrick Raphael is Under 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.0% on this pick. Their next game is Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs on Friday 6 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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