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The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Williams is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 13%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:13PM UTC
NCAAF

Xavier Williams

Iowa

Value call

Xavier Williams has one live pick today: Rush TDs Over 0.5 that pays $745 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rush TDs Over 0.5 +645 (7.45) · $100→$745
Value call
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes
Sat 3 Oct, 7:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 32.3% · before adjusting for past results 13.5% · the book's price implies 13.4% · gap +18.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs13.5%32.3%13.4%3.10+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Iowa Hawkeyes vs Ohio State Buckeyes: Xavier Williams Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (+645)

Odds available at Fliff at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Iowa Hawkeyes host Ohio State Buckeyes in college football. The bet we are looking at is Xavier Williams Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Xavier Williams finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at +645 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $74.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Xavier Williams (Iowa) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Williams is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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