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NCAAF

Tony Diaz

Iowa

Value call

Tony Diaz has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
98 in 100
Predicted
7.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 97.8% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +47.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington Huskies
Fri 9 Oct, 9:00 PM ET
Tony Diaz
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 98 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tony Diaz is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 98 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 98%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 8, 7:08AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 610 of 1,125 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions97.8%—53.2%2.00+47.8%

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AI Analysis

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Washington Huskies vs Iowa Hawkeyes: Tony Diaz Over 4.5 Receptions (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Washington Huskies host Iowa Hawkeyes in college football. The bet we are looking at is Tony Diaz Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Tony Diaz finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 81.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Tony Diaz's lines for Sat 10 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 4.5
-149 best over price · 1 book

Tony Diaz's receptions line is 4.5, best over price -149 across 1 book.

Receiving Yards 46.5
-115 best over price · 1 book

Tony Diaz's receiving yards line is 46.5, best over price -115 across 1 book.

Receiving Yards 49.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Tony Diaz's receiving yards line is 49.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes Receptions 5.5 Over +115 ✗ MISS
03 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes Receptions 4.5 Over -143 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes Receiving Yards 47.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tony Diaz (Iowa) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 81.0% on tracked Tony Diaz picks. The latest model pick for Tony Diaz is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +47.8% on this pick. Their next game is Iowa Hawkeyes vs Washington Huskies on Friday 9 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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