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NCAAF

Tony Diaz

Iowa

Value call

Tony Diaz has one live pick today: over 45.5 receiving yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
54.7 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.8% · before adjusting for past results 59.8% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -5.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
Sat 24 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Tony Diaz
over 45.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Over 45.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tony Diaz is Over 45.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 28, 8:26AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards59.8%47.8%52.9%2.01+9.9%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Iowa Hawkeyes: Tony Diaz Over 45.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Minnesota Golden Gophers host Iowa Hawkeyes in college football. The bet we are looking at is Tony Diaz Over 45.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Tony Diaz finishes with more than 45.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (31 picks) 64.5% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Receiving Yards 45.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Receiving Yards 47.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Rushing Yards 5.5 Over -106 ✓ HIT
09 Oct 26 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington Huskies Receptions — — — Pending
09 Oct 26 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington Huskies Receptions — — — Pending
09 Oct 26 Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington Huskies Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tony Diaz (Iowa) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 64.5% on tracked Tony Diaz picks. The latest model pick for Tony Diaz is Over 45.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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