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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tre Richardson is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 52%, edge +10.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 17, 1:27PM UTC
NCAAF

Tre Richardson

Louisville

+10.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receptions Over 4.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
+10.8% Edge
SMU Mustangs @ Louisville Cardinals
Sat 19 Sep, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
5.0 Receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.4% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +10.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions60.4%—52.4%2.05+10.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs: Tre Richardson Over 4.5 Receptions (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Louisville Cardinals host SMU Mustangs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Tre Richardson Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Tre Richardson finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tre Richardson's lines for Sat 19 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 4.5
-110 best over price · 5 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games

Tre Richardson's receptions line is 4.5, best over price -110 across 5 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 59.5

Tre Richardson's receiving yards line is 59.5.

Receiving Yards 66.5
-118 best over price · 1 book

Tre Richardson's receiving yards line is 66.5, best over price -118 across 1 book.

Receiving Yards 61.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Tre Richardson's receiving yards line is 61.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

Receiving Yards 54.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Tre Richardson's receiving yards line is 54.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tre Richardson (Louisville) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tre Richardson is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.8% on this pick. Their next game is SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals on Saturday 19 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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