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NCAAF

Onterrio Smith Jr.

Sacramento State

Value call

Onterrio Smith Jr. (Sacramento State) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $206 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
95 in 100
Predicted
7.1 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 94.9% · the book's price implies 48.5% · gap +49.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kent State Golden Flashes @ Sacramento State Hornets
Fri 30 Oct, 10:30 PM ET
Onterrio Smith Jr.
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 +106 (2.06) · $100→$206
Value call
HIGHWins about 95 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.60 Odds+106
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Onterrio Smith Jr. is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 95%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 12:23PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 963 of 1,780 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions94.9%—48.5%2.19+49.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Sacramento State Hornets vs Kent State Golden Flashes: Onterrio Smith Jr. Over 4.5 Receptions (+106)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 31 October 2026, Sacramento State Hornets host Kent State Golden Flashes in college football. The bet we are looking at is Onterrio Smith Jr. Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Onterrio Smith Jr. finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Onterrio Smith Jr. (Sacramento State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Onterrio Smith Jr. is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +49.3% on this pick. Their next game is Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets on Friday 30 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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