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NCAAF

Nathan Hayes

North Dakota State

Value call

Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) has one live pick today: under 197.5 passing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
191.8 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.8% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Dakota State Bison @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 PM ET
Nathan Hayes
under 197.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 197.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.93 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Hayes is Under 197.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:37AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$4,614 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards52.8%—52.9%2.00+2.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/8

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AI Analysis

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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs North Dakota State Bison: Nathan Hayes Under 197.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 15 November 2026, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors host North Dakota State Bison in college football. The bet we are looking at is Nathan Hayes Under 197.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Nathan Hayes finishes with fewer than 197.5 passing yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nathan Hayes's lines for Sun 15 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 197.5

Nathan Hayes's passing yards line is 197.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos Passing Yards 157.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos Rushing Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Passing TDs — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Hayes is Under 197.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is North Dakota State Bison vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Saturday 14 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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