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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Hayes is Over 1.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 7:16AM UTC
NCAAF

Nathan Hayes

North Dakota State

Value call

Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) has one live pick today: Passing TDs Over 1.5 that pays $197 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Passing TDs Over 1.5 -103 (1.97) · $100→$197
Value call
Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison
Sat 3 Oct, 7:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 520 of 962 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
1.8 Passing TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.3% · the book's price implies 50.8% · gap +36.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs84.3%—50.8%2.09+36.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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North Dakota State Bison vs Wyoming Cowboys: Nathan Hayes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-103)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, North Dakota State Bison host Wyoming Cowboys in college football. The bet we are looking at is Nathan Hayes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Nathan Hayes finishes with more than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.71 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nathan Hayes's lines for Sat 3 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing TDs 1.5
-103 best over price · 2 books

Nathan Hayes's passing tds line is 1.5, best over price -103 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 210.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 1 of the last 10 games

Nathan Hayes's passing yards line is 210.5, best over price -114 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 1 of his last 10 games.

Rushing Yards 27.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Nathan Hayes's rushing yards line is 27.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Hayes is Over 1.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +36.4% on this pick. Their next game is Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State Bison on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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