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NCAAF

Nathan Hayes

North Dakota State

Value call

Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) has one live pick today: over 26.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
35.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 58.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +8.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos
Sat 24 Oct, 10:00 PM ET
Nathan Hayes
over 26.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 26.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nathan Hayes is Over 26.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 3:56AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 921 of 1,701 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards58.0%—53.2%2.00+8.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

New Mexico Lobos vs North Dakota State Bison: Nathan Hayes Over 26.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 25 October 2026, New Mexico Lobos host North Dakota State Bison in college football. The bet we are looking at is Nathan Hayes Over 26.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Nathan Hayes finishes with more than 26.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nathan Hayes's lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 26.5

Nathan Hayes's rushing yards line is 26.5.

Rushing Yards 28.5

Nathan Hayes's rushing yards line is 28.5.

Passing Yards 157.5

Nathan Hayes's passing yards line is 157.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Passing TDs — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nathan Hayes is Over 26.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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