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NCAAF

Jackson Williams

North Dakota State

Value call

Jackson Williams (North Dakota State) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $208 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
95 in 100
Predicted
7.2 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 95.2% · the book's price implies 48.1% · gap +49.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Dakota State Bison @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 PM ET
Jackson Williams
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 +108 (2.08) · $100→$208
Value call
HIGHWins about 95 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.80 Odds+108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jackson Williams is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 95%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions95.2%—48.1%2.20+49.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs North Dakota State Bison: Jackson Williams Over 4.5 Receptions (+108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Sunday 15 November 2026, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors host North Dakota State Bison in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jackson Williams Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Jackson Williams finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Receiving Yards 50.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos Receiving Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 North Dakota State Bison @ New Mexico Lobos Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jackson Williams (North Dakota State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jackson Williams is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +49.7% on this pick. Their next game is North Dakota State Bison vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Saturday 14 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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