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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keelon Russell is Over 27.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:19PM UTC
NCAAF

Keelon Russell

Alabama

Value call

Keelon Russell (Alabama) has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Over 27.5 that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 27.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 3 Oct, 4:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
50.5 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.5% · before adjusting for past results 91.4% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +6.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards91.4%59.5%53.5%2.00+41.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide: Keelon Russell Over 27.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Alabama Crimson Tide in college football. The bet we are looking at is Keelon Russell Over 27.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Keelon Russell finishes with more than 27.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing TDs 1.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Completions 20.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rush TDs 0.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Passing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rush Attempts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Keelon Russell (Alabama) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keelon Russell is Over 27.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +41.4% on this pick. Their next game is Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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