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NCAAF

Keelon Russell

Alabama

Value call

Keelon Russell (Alabama) has one live pick today: over 17.5 completed passes that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
18.7 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.8% · before adjusting for past results 70.9% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap -2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores
Sat 14 Nov, 12:45 PM ET
Keelon Russell
over 17.5 completed passes
Completions Over 17.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.00 Odds-125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keelon Russell is Over 17.5 on Completions.
On Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:06PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Completions70.9%52.8%55.6%1.93+19.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Vanderbilt Commodores vs Alabama Crimson Tide: Keelon Russell Over 17.5 Completions (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Vanderbilt Commodores host Alabama Crimson Tide in college football. The bet we are looking at is Keelon Russell Over 17.5 Completions. This wins if Keelon Russell finishes with more than 17.5 completed passes. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. That price was showing at Hard Rock Bet. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Nov 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Completions 17.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
14 Nov 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Passing Yards 250.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
14 Nov 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Rush Attempts 7.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
14 Nov 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Rushing Yards — — — Pending
14 Nov 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Rushing Yards — — — Pending
14 Nov 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Vanderbilt Commodores Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Keelon Russell (Alabama) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keelon Russell is Over 17.5 on Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.0% on this pick. Their next game is Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday 14 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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