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NCAAF

Journee Tonga

BYU

Value call

Journee Tonga has one live pick today: over 26.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
37.1 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.4% · before adjusting for past results 74.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars
Sat 17 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Journee Tonga
over 26.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 26.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Journee Tonga is Over 26.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 6, 5:00PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards74.2%50.4%53.2%2.00+24.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/5

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AI Analysis

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BYU Cougars vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Journee Tonga Over 26.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, BYU Cougars host Notre Dame Fighting Irish in college football. The bet we are looking at is Journee Tonga Over 26.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Journee Tonga finishes with more than 26.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars Rushing Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Journee Tonga (BYU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Journee Tonga is Over 26.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.2% on this pick. Their next game is Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs BYU Cougars on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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