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NCAAF

Bear Bachmeier

BYU

Value call

Bear Bachmeier has one live pick today: under 1.5 passing touchdowns that pays $138 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
1.1 passing touchdowns
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.2% · before adjusting for past results 91.2% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap -21.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
BYU Cougars @ UCF Knights
Sat 24 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Bear Bachmeier
under 1.5 passing touchdowns
Passing TDs Under 1.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.80 Odds-263
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bear Bachmeier is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 21, 2:20AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 826 of 1,532 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs91.2%51.2%72.5%1.48+23.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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UCF Knights vs BYU Cougars: Bear Bachmeier Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-263)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, UCF Knights host BYU Cougars in college football. The bet we are looking at is Bear Bachmeier Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Bear Bachmeier finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Bear Bachmeier's lines for Sat 24 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing TDs 1.5
+188 best over price · 3 books

Bear Bachmeier's passing tds line is 1.5, best over price +188 across 3 books.

Rushing Yards 34.5
-114 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games3 in a row

Bear Bachmeier's rushing yards line is 34.5, best over price -114 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rushing Yards 39.5
-114 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 4 of the last 10 games3 in a row

Bear Bachmeier's rushing yards line is 39.5, best over price -114 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 4 of his last 10 games.

Passing Yards 223.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Bear Bachmeier's passing yards line is 223.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars Passing TDs 0.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars Rushing Yards 34.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars Passing Yards 181.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars Rushing Yards — — — Pending
09 Oct 26 Iowa State Cyclones @ BYU Cougars Rush Attempts — — — Pending
09 Oct 26 Iowa State Cyclones @ BYU Cougars Rush Attempts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bear Bachmeier (BYU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bear Bachmeier is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.6% on this pick. Their next game is BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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