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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonathan Stafford Jr. is Under 49.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 2:28AM UTC
NCAAF

Jonathan Stafford Jr.

Western Kentucky

Value call

Jonathan Stafford Jr. (Western Kentucky) has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Under 49.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 49.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies
Fri 2 Oct, 12:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 520 of 962 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
42.8 Receiving Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.7% · before adjusting for past results 64.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -5.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards64.1%47.7%53.2%2.00+14.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/4
Last 10 games3/4

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AI Analysis

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New Mexico State Aggies vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Jonathan Stafford Jr. Under 49.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Friday 2 October 2026, New Mexico State Aggies host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jonathan Stafford Jr. Under 49.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Jonathan Stafford Jr. finishes with fewer than 49.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies Receptions 5.5 Over +100 ✓ HIT
02 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jonathan Stafford Jr. (Western Kentucky) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonathan Stafford Jr. is Under 49.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.1% on this pick. Their next game is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies on Friday 2 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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