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NCAAF

Ajay Allen

Western Kentucky

Value call

Ajay Allen (Western Kentucky) has one live pick today: under 69.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
62.8 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.7% · before adjusting for past results 65.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -5.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Sam Houston State Bearkats
Wed 14 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Ajay Allen
under 69.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 69.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ajay Allen is Under 69.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:23AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards65.9%47.7%53.2%2.00+15.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Ajay Allen Under 69.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 15 October 2026, Sam Houston State Bearkats host Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Ajay Allen Under 69.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Ajay Allen finishes with fewer than 69.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ajay Allen's lines for Thu 15 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 69.5

Ajay Allen's rushing yards line is 69.5.

Rushing Yards 67.5

Ajay Allen's rushing yards line is 67.5.

Rushing Yards 66.5

Ajay Allen's rushing yards line is 66.5.

Rushing Yards 65.5

Ajay Allen's rushing yards line is 65.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies Rushing Yards 71.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies Receiving Yards 11.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies Receiving Yards 12.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Missouri State Bears @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Missouri State Bears @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ajay Allen (Western Kentucky) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ajay Allen is Under 69.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.9% on this pick. Their next game is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Sam Houston State Bearkats on Wednesday 14 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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