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NCAAF

Jayden Savoury

Michigan State

Value call

Jayden Savoury (Michigan State) has one live pick today: over 28.5 receiving yards that pays $183 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
32.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.3% · before adjusting for past results 58.2% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap -8.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Jayden Savoury
over 28.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Over 28.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.33 Odds-120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jayden Savoury is Over 28.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 4:16AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 257 of 443 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards58.2%46.3%54.6%1.95+6.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/7

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AI Analysis

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Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats: Jayden Savoury Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Michigan State Spartans host Northwestern Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jayden Savoury Over 28.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Jayden Savoury finishes with more than 28.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jayden Savoury's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 28.5

Jayden Savoury's receiving yards line is 28.5.

Receiving Yards 30.5
-115 best over price · 2 books

Jayden Savoury's receiving yards line is 30.5, best over price -115 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Receptions 3.5 Over +115 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Receiving Yards 34.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Receiving Yards 33.5 Under -116 ✗ MISS
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Receiving Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Receiving Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Michigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin Badgers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jayden Savoury (Michigan State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jayden Savoury is Over 28.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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