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NCAAF

Jalen Likely

Jacksonville State

Value call

Jalen Likely (Jacksonville State) has one live pick today: over 31.5 rushing yards that pays $184 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
39.9 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.5% · before adjusting for past results 58.0% · the book's price implies 54.3% · gap -1.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies
Wed 28 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Jalen Likely
over 31.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 31.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.40 Odds-119
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Likely is Over 31.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards58.0%52.5%54.3%1.96+6.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

New Mexico State Aggies vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Jalen Likely Over 31.5 Rushing Yards (-119)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 29 October 2026, New Mexico State Aggies host Jacksonville State Gamecocks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jalen Likely Over 31.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Jalen Likely finishes with more than 31.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -119 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.40 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Rushing Yards 31.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Rushing Yards 33.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Rushing Yards 32.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
07 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ Kennesaw State Owls Rushing Yards — — — Pending
07 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ Kennesaw State Owls Rushing Yards — — — Pending
07 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ Kennesaw State Owls Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Likely (Jacksonville State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Likely is Over 31.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.9% on this pick. Their next game is Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies on Wednesday 28 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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