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NCAAF

Caden Creel

Jacksonville State

Value call

Caden Creel (Jacksonville State) has one live pick today: over 0.5 rush tds that pays $171 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.7% · before adjusting for past results 94.5% · the book's price implies 58.5% · gap -4.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies
Wed 28 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Caden Creel
over 0.5 rush tds
Rush TDs Over 0.5 -141 (1.71) · $100→$171
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.09 Odds-141
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caden Creel is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 58%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs94.5%53.7%58.5%1.86+36.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

New Mexico State Aggies vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Caden Creel Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-141)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 29 October 2026, New Mexico State Aggies host Jacksonville State Gamecocks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Caden Creel Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Caden Creel finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.09 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (31 picks) 71.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Rush TDs 0.5 Over -141 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Passing TDs 1.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Rushing Yards 59.5 Over -118 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Rushing Yards — — — Pending
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Passing Yards — — — Pending
28 Oct 26 Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Caden Creel (Jacksonville State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 71.0% on tracked Caden Creel picks. The latest model pick for Caden Creel is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +36.0% on this pick. Their next game is Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies on Wednesday 28 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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