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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Johnson is Over 11.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 26, 1:30PM UTC
NCAAF

Jake Johnson

Auburn

Value call

Jake Johnson (Auburn) has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Over 11.5 that pays $186 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Over 11.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
Value call
Vanderbilt Commodores @ Auburn Tigers
Sat 26 Sep, 8:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player pass yds overs: 84 of 119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
20.6 Receiving Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.9% · before adjusting for past results 68.6% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap -4.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards68.6%48.9%53.8%1.98+18.1%

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AI Analysis

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Auburn Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores: Jake Johnson Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-116)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 26 September 2026, Auburn Tigers host Vanderbilt Commodores in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jake Johnson Over 11.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Jake Johnson finishes with more than 11.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.62 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jake Johnson's lines for Sat 26 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 11.5
-110 best over price · 3 books

Jake Johnson's receiving yards line is 11.5, best over price -110 across 3 books.

Receiving Yards 10.5
-110 best over price · 3 books

Jake Johnson's receiving yards line is 10.5, best over price -110 across 3 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Florida Gators @ Auburn Tigers Receiving Yards 16.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Florida Gators @ Auburn Tigers Receptions — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Florida Gators @ Auburn Tigers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jake Johnson (Auburn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Johnson is Over 11.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.1% on this pick. Their next game is Vanderbilt Commodores vs Auburn Tigers on Saturday 26 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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