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NCAAF

Dominic Kelley

Nevada

Value call

Dominic Kelley (Nevada) has one live pick today: over 51.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
68.5 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.9% · before adjusting for past results 65.7% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -4.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
New Mexico Lobos @ Nevada Wolf Pack
Fri 6 Nov, 9:00 PM ET
Dominic Kelley
over 51.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 51.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dominic Kelley is Over 51.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards65.7%48.9%53.2%2.00+15.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos: Dominic Kelley Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Nevada Wolf Pack host New Mexico Lobos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Dominic Kelley Over 51.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Dominic Kelley finishes with more than 51.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Nov 26 New Mexico Lobos @ Nevada Wolf Pack Rushing Yards — — — Pending
31 Oct 26 Nevada Wolf Pack @ UCLA Bruins Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dominic Kelley (Nevada) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dominic Kelley is Over 51.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack on Friday 6 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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