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The latest Bet Better model pick for Carter Jones is Over 169.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:13PM UTC
NCAAF

Carter Jones

Nevada

Value call

Carter Jones (Nevada) has one live pick today: Passing Yards Over 169.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards Over 169.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack
Sun 27 Sep, 2:30AM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
171.0 Passing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +1.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards51.9%—53.2%2.00+1.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons: Carter Jones Over 169.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Sunday 27 September 2026, Nevada Wolf Pack host Air Force Falcons in college football. The bet we are looking at is Carter Jones Over 169.5 Passing Yards. This wins if Carter Jones finishes with more than 169.5 passing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Passing Yards 169.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Air Force Falcons @ Nevada Wolf Pack Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Carter Jones (Nevada) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carter Jones is Over 169.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.9% on this pick. Their next game is Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack on Sunday 27 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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