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NCAAF

Dawson Pendergrass

Baylor

Value call

Dawson Pendergrass (Baylor) has one live pick today: over 49.5 rushing yards that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
52.3 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.8% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +6.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
TCU Horned Frogs @ Baylor Bears
Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Dawson Pendergrass
over 49.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 49.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dawson Pendergrass is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 2:04AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards56.8%—53.5%1.99+6.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/5

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AI Analysis

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Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs: Dawson Pendergrass Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Baylor Bears host TCU Horned Frogs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Dawson Pendergrass Over 49.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Dawson Pendergrass finishes with more than 49.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Dawson Pendergrass's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 49.5
-120 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 3 of the last 5 games

Dawson Pendergrass's rushing yards line is 49.5, best over price -120 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 5 games.

Receiving Yards 6.5
-108 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 2 of the last 5 games

Dawson Pendergrass's receiving yards line is 6.5, best over price -108 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 2 of his last 5 games.

Rushing Yards 50.5
-115 best over price · 2 books

Dawson Pendergrass's rushing yards line is 50.5, best over price -115 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Baylor Bears @ Arizona State Sun Devils Receiving Yards 9.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Colorado Buffaloes @ Baylor Bears Receiving Yards 8.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ Baylor Bears Rushing Yards 75.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Baylor Bears @ Arizona State Sun Devils Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Baylor Bears @ Arizona State Sun Devils Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Colorado Buffaloes @ Baylor Bears Rush Attempts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dawson Pendergrass (Baylor) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dawson Pendergrass is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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