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NCAAF

Jadon Porter

Baylor

Value call

Jadon Porter (Baylor) has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $166 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
98 in 100
Predicted
5.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 97.9% · the book's price implies 60.2% · gap +41.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
TCU Horned Frogs @ Baylor Bears
Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Jadon Porter
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions Over 2.5 -152 (1.66) · $100→$166
Value call
HIGHWins about 98 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.58 Odds-152
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jadon Porter is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 98 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 98%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 3:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions97.9%—60.2%1.77+41.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/8

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AI Analysis

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Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs: Jadon Porter Over 2.5 Receptions (-152)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Baylor Bears host TCU Horned Frogs in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jadon Porter Over 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Jadon Porter finishes with more than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at -152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.58 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jadon Porter's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 2.5
-145 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 3 of the last 8 games

Jadon Porter's receptions line is 2.5, best over price -145 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 8 games.

Receiving Yards 32.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 3 of the last 8 games3 in a row

Jadon Porter's receiving yards line is 32.5, best over price -114 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 8 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jadon Porter (Baylor) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jadon Porter is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +41.4% on this pick. Their next game is TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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