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The latest Bet Better model pick for Baylor Hayes is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:13PM UTC
NCAAF

Baylor Hayes

Tulsa

Value call

Baylor Hayes (Tulsa) has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Over 14.5 that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 14.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
North Texas Mean Green @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Fri 2 Oct, 1:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
31.8 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.3% · before adjusting for past results 84.8% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap -0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards84.8%55.3%55.6%1.81+29.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/6

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AI Analysis

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Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs North Texas Mean Green: Baylor Hayes Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

On Friday 2 October 2026, Tulsa Golden Hurricane host North Texas Mean Green in college football. The bet we are looking at is Baylor Hayes Over 14.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Baylor Hayes finishes with more than 14.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRivers. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Oct 26 North Texas Mean Green @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane Rushing Yards 13.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
02 Oct 26 North Texas Mean Green @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane Passing Yards 232.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
02 Oct 26 North Texas Mean Green @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane Rushing Yards — — — Pending
02 Oct 26 North Texas Mean Green @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane Passing TDs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Baylor Hayes (Tulsa) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Baylor Hayes is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.2% on this pick. Their next game is North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane on Friday 2 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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