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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brett Norfleet is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 40%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Sep 27, 3:08AM UTC
NCAAF

Brett Norfleet

Missouri

Value call

Brett Norfleet (Missouri) has one live pick today: Receptions Over 2.5 that pays $248 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receptions Over 2.5 +148 (2.48) · $100→$248
Value call
Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 26 Sep, 11:50PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player pass yds overs: 84 of 119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
2.8 Receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.6% · the book's price implies 40.3% · gap +18.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions56.6%—40.3%2.62+18.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers: Brett Norfleet Over 2.5 Receptions (+148)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 26 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Missouri Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Brett Norfleet Over 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Brett Norfleet finishes with more than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at +148 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.80 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brett Norfleet (Missouri) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brett Norfleet is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 26 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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