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NCAAF

Amare Thomas

Houston

Value call

Amare Thomas (Houston) has one live pick today: under 76.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
72.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.9% · before adjusting for past results 54.3% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Cougars @ Colorado Buffaloes
Fri 13 Nov, 10:15 PM ET
Amare Thomas
under 76.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 76.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Amare Thomas is Under 76.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards54.3%50.9%53.2%2.00+4.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/9

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AI Analysis

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Colorado Buffaloes vs Houston Cougars: Amare Thomas Under 76.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Colorado Buffaloes host Houston Cougars in college football. The bet we are looking at is Amare Thomas Under 76.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Amare Thomas finishes with fewer than 76.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (32 picks) 68.8% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Nov 26 Houston Cougars @ Colorado Buffaloes Receiving Yards 76.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
13 Nov 26 Houston Cougars @ Colorado Buffaloes Receiving Yards 71.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
13 Nov 26 Houston Cougars @ Colorado Buffaloes Receiving Yards 72.5 Over -110 ✗ MISS
07 Nov 26 Cincinnati Bearcats @ Houston Cougars Receptions — — — Pending
07 Nov 26 Cincinnati Bearcats @ Houston Cougars Receiving Yards — — — Pending
07 Nov 26 Cincinnati Bearcats @ Houston Cougars Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Amare Thomas (Houston) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 68.8% on tracked Amare Thomas picks. The latest model pick for Amare Thomas is Under 76.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Cougars vs Colorado Buffaloes on Friday 13 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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