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NCAAF

Conner Weigman

Houston

Value call

Conner Weigman (Houston) has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Under 39.5 that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
37.5 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.8% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +2.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats
Sat 10 Oct, 7:30PM
Conner Weigman
under 39.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 39.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.00 Odds-125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Conner Weigman is Under 39.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 8, 3:10AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 604 of 1,119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards54.8%—55.6%1.91+2.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/6

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AI Analysis

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Kansas State Wildcats vs Houston Cougars: Conner Weigman Under 39.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 10 October 2026, Kansas State Wildcats host Houston Cougars in college football. The bet we are looking at is Conner Weigman Under 39.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Conner Weigman finishes with fewer than 39.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Conner Weigman's lines for Sat 10 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 39.5
-108 best over price · 1 book

Conner Weigman's rushing yards line is 39.5, best over price -108 across 1 book.

Passing Yards 226.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 games3 in a row

Conner Weigman's passing yards line is 226.5, best over price -114 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Passing Yards 219.5
-111 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 games3 in a row

Conner Weigman's passing yards line is 219.5, best over price -111 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Rushing Yards 42.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Conner Weigman's rushing yards line is 42.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Houston Cougars Rush TDs 0.5 Over +105 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Houston Cougars Passing Yards 225.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Houston Cougars Completions 18.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Houston Cougars Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Houston Cougars Passing TDs — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 UCF Knights @ Houston Cougars Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Conner Weigman (Houston) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Conner Weigman is Under 39.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Cougars vs Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday 10 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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