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College football predictions for Wednesday, November 11: the model leans Buffalo Bulls

3 college football games on Wednesday. The model's strongest pick is Buffalo Bulls 0, a LEAN-confidence call.

By Marcus Cole · Published Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET · Updated Nov 11, 10:30 AM ET

Built from our model's data by our publishing system, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals

Wed Nov 11, 7:30 PM ET
Top pick: Buffalo Bulls 0 (they must win; if it ends level your stake comes back)-110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Full Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals preview →

Sacramento State Hornets at Central Michigan Chippewas

Wed Nov 11, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: Under 44 points-110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Full Sacramento State Hornets at Central Michigan Chippewas preview →

UMass Minutemen at Toledo Rockets

Wed Nov 11, 7:30 PM ET
Our pick: Toledo Rockets -14 (they must win by 15 or more; win by exactly 14 and your stake comes back)-110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Full UMass Minutemen at Toledo Rockets preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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