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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 3 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Utah State Aggies
VS
Boise State Broncos

Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 9 markets for Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos and backs Under 51.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $193.

5
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 51.5 total points
Under 51.5 Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26Best price-108
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.8%
The price says50.1%

The model graded 9 markets for Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 3 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 51.5 Lean49% chance -108
Spread Members only Lean46% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Rushing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 88% Members
Receiving Yards × 2 props Highup to 64% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 62% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Utah State Aggies and Boise State Broncos last met on Sat 3 Oct 2026: Boise State Broncos won 37-18. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
51.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boise State BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Utah State AggiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Utah State Aggies

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Boise State Broncos

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dylan Riley Boise State Rushing Yards
Matt Wagner Boise State Receiving Yards
Maddux Madsen Boise State Passing Yards
Rasean Jones Boise State Receiving Yards

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Utah State Aggies @ Boise State Broncos — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos — 5 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 8 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Utah State Aggies @ Boise State Broncos — model preview

Boise State Broncos v Utah State Aggies, 3 October 2026. Top of the list: Boise State Broncos -19 on the Line. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Boise State Broncos play Utah State Aggies in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Boise State Broncos -19 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Boise State Broncos -19 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at BetUS at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Boise State Broncos host Utah State Aggies in college football. The bet we are looking at is Boise State Broncos -19 Point Spread. On this line Boise State Broncos give up 19 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 19. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetUS. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Aggies vs Broncos, or as Broncos vs Aggies. The most recent game between them was Saturday 3 October 2026. The model has generated 5 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 3 Oct 2026Boise State Broncos beat Utah State Aggies 37-18 at home

Utah State Aggies: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonvs Fresno State Bulldogs 17-10
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Colorado State Rams 31-14
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Texas State Bobcats 17-20
  4. 9 Oct 2026Wonvs Washington State Cougars 17-16
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Boise State Broncos 18-37

Boise State Broncos: last 5 results

  1. 14 Nov 2026Wonvs Oregon State Beavers 46-41
  2. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Colorado State Rams 64-38
  3. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Texas State Bobcats 46-45
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Washington State Cougars 31-10
  5. 10 Oct 2026Wonat Fresno State Bulldogs 38-31

Quick answers

Who won the last Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies game? Boise State Broncos won their last meeting 37-18 on 3 October 2026.

How have Utah State Aggies and Boise State Broncos done lately? Utah State Aggies won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Boise State Broncos won 5 and lost 0 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos: the season so far

From every final score this season

Utah State Aggies are 4-5 this season and Boise State Broncos are 9-1. Boise State Broncos are 5-0 at home. Utah State Aggies are 0-4 on the road. Boise State Broncos score 39.7 points a game and let in 26.8. Utah State Aggies score 16.9 and let in 20.6. Boise State Broncos games have averaged 67 points in total; Utah State Aggies games have averaged 37.4. Boise State Broncos have won their last 9.

SeasonUtah State AggiesBoise State Broncos
Won-lost4-59-1
At home4-15-0
On the road0-44-1
Points scored a game16.939.7
Points let in a game20.626.8
Points scored at home20.641
Points scored away12.338.4
Against winning sides0-43-1
Current runWon 2Won 9
Biggest win31-14 vs Colorado State Rams64-38 at Colorado State Rams
Heaviest loss33-0 at Utah Utes34-27 at Oregon Ducks

Teams they have both played

  • Against Colorado State Rams: Boise State Broncos won 64-38 on the road; Utah State Aggies won 31-14 at home.
  • Against Texas State Bobcats: Boise State Broncos won 46-45 at home; Utah State Aggies lost 17-20 on the road.
  • Against Washington State Cougars: Boise State Broncos won 31-10 on the road; Utah State Aggies won 17-16 at home.

Quick answers

How are Boise State Broncos doing this season? Boise State Broncos are 9-1 this season: 5-0 at home and 4-1 on the road.

How many points do Utah State Aggies score a game? Utah State Aggies score 16.9 points a game this season and let in 20.6, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Boise State Broncos 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 3 Oct 2026, Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos: Boise State Broncos won 37-18.

DateGameScoreWinner
3 Oct 2026Utah State Aggies @ Boise State Broncos37–18Boise State Broncos
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