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NCAAF

Matt Wagner

Boise State

Value call

Matt Wagner (Boise State) has one live pick today: over 32.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
41.0 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.0% · before adjusting for past results 59.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Boise State Broncos @ Colorado State Rams
Sat 7 Nov, 6:00 PM ET
Matt Wagner
over 32.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Over 32.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Wagner is Over 32.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards59.2%51.0%53.2%2.00+9.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Colorado State Rams vs Boise State Broncos: Matt Wagner Over 32.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Colorado State Rams host Boise State Broncos in college football. The bet we are looking at is Matt Wagner Over 32.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Matt Wagner finishes with more than 32.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Boise State Broncos @ Fresno State Bulldogs Receiving Yards 40.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Utah State Aggies @ Boise State Broncos Receiving Yards 43.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Boise State Broncos @ Western Michigan Broncos Receiving Yards 21.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
07 Nov 26 Boise State Broncos @ Colorado State Rams Receiving Yards — — — Pending
07 Nov 26 Boise State Broncos @ Colorado State Rams Receiving Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Boise State Broncos @ Washington State Cougars Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matt Wagner (Boise State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matt Wagner is Over 32.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Boise State Broncos vs Colorado State Rams on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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