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College basketball predictions for Thursday, November 5: the model backs Green Bay

13 college basketball games on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is Green Bay +22.5, a HIGH-confidence call. 10 more games have a HIGH-confidence pick.

Built from our model's data by our publishing system, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Chattanooga Mocs at Penn State Nittany Lions

Thu Nov 5, 6:00 PM ET
Our pick: Chattanooga +15.5 (they can lose by up to 15 and the bet still wins)-110

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Vanderbilt Commodores

Thu Nov 5, 6:00 PM ET
Our pick: Wake Forest +16 (they can lose by up to 15 and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 16 and your stake comes back)+109

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Green Bay Phoenix at Cincinnati Bearcats

Thu Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Top pick: Green Bay +22.5 (they can lose by up to 22 and the bet still wins)-106

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Buffalo Bulls at Pittsburgh Panthers

Thu Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Buffalo Bulls at Pittsburgh Panthers · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Hofstra Pride at Princeton Tigers

Thu Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Hofstra Pride at Princeton Tigers · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Mercer Bears at Virginia Tech Hokies

Thu Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET
Mercer Bears at Virginia Tech Hokies · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Duke Blue Devils

Thu Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Duke Blue Devils · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

VMI Keydets at SMU Mustangs

Thu Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET
VMI Keydets at SMU Mustangs · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Northern Illinois Huskies at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Thu Nov 5, 8:00 PM ET
Northern Illinois Huskies at Tulsa Golden Hurricane · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

South Florida Bulls at DePaul Blue Demons

Thu Nov 5, 8:30 PM ET
South Florida Bulls at DePaul Blue Demons · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Pennsylvania Quakers at Illinois Fighting Illini

Thu Nov 5, 8:30 PM ET
Pennsylvania Quakers at Illinois Fighting Illini · Total Points Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Towson Tigers at Utah Utes

Thu Nov 5, 9:00 PM ET
Towson Tigers at Utah Utes · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Cal Poly Mustangs at Arizona Wildcats

Thu Nov 5, 10:30 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs at Arizona Wildcats · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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