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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tristan Vukcevic is Under 18.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +13.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 5:53PM UTC
NBA

Tristan Vukcevic

Washington Wizards

+13.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 18.5 -128 (1.78)
+13.1% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Mon 16 Mar, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Vukcevic (knee) is out for Sunday's game in Cleveland.
updated Jun 16, 2:42PM UTC · 36d old
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Model Probability
69.3%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+13.1%
Predicted Value
15.0 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs69.3%—56.2%1.44+13.1%

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AI Analysis

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Tristan Vukcevic (Washington Wizards) Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards prepare to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Tristan Vukcevic, but betting on him to surpass 18.5 points and rebounds seems risky. His recent form shows a telling trend-he's hit the under in three of his last four outings and has been even more restrained at home, going under in seven of his last eight games at the Capital One Arena. The Warriors, despite their offensive firepower, play at a tempo that could limit Vukcevic's opportunities to rack up stats. Plus, given that his expected combined points and rebounds sit around 15, there's a decent cushion below that line. With the Wizards likely looking to spread the floor, Vukcevic may not find himself in the thick of the action, making the under a compelling play as the Wizards aim to control the pace and keep scoring in check.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.0avg · last 10
L51.0Szn0.7Home0.6Away0.7Best3
1+49%
2+17%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
1202011021

Tristan Vukcevic is averaging 1.0 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.7, best 3). He clears 1+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
14.7avg · last 10
L518.6Szn9.4Home8.9Away10.1Best28
4+74%
9+46%
14+31%
19+6%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 14.7 · hi 28 · lo 4
11174814177241728

Tristan Vukcevic is averaging 14.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.4, best 28). He clears 9+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
19.8avg · last 10
L524.4Szn13.1Home12.7Away13.7Best39
3+86%
8+66%
13+49%
18+34%
23+20%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 19.8 · hi 39 · lo 6
152361418258302039

Tristan Vukcevic is averaging 19.8 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.1, best 39). He clears 13+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
5.1avg · last 10
L55.8Szn3.7Home3.8Away3.6Best11
2+69%
4+51%
6+34%
8+11%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 5.1 · hi 11 · lo 1
46264816311

Tristan Vukcevic is averaging 5.1 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.7, best 11). He clears 4+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards Points 11.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs 18.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks Rebounds 5.5 Under -139 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tristan Vukcevic (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tristan Vukcevic is Under 18.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards on Monday 16 March at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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