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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tristan Vukcevic is Under 18.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +13.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 12:46AM UTC
NBA

Tristan Vukcevic

Washington Wizards

+13.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 18.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
+13.1% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Mon 16 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
69.3%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+13.1%
Predicted Value
15.0 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs69.3%56.2%1.44+13.1%

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AI Analysis

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Tristan Vukcevic (Washington Wizards) Under 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards prepare to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Tristan Vukcevic, but betting on him to surpass 18.5 points and rebounds seems risky. His recent form shows a telling trend-he's hit the under in three of his last four outings and has been even more restrained at home, going under in seven of his last eight games at the Capital One Arena. The Warriors, despite their offensive firepower, play at a tempo that could limit Vukcevic's opportunities to rack up stats. Plus, given that his expected combined points and rebounds sit around 15, there's a decent cushion below that line. With the Wizards likely looking to spread the floor, Vukcevic may not find himself in the thick of the action, making the under a compelling play as the Wizards aim to control the pace and keep scoring in check.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Tristan Vukcevic — 2024-25 season averages

Over 35 games in the 2024-25 season, Tristan Vukcevic averaged 9.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.1 assists in 14.6 minutes per game, shooting 49.6% from the field and 37.3% from three-point range.

9.4
PPG
3.7
RPG
1.1
APG
0.3
SPG
0.7
BPG
14.6
MPG
49.6%
FG%
37.3%
3P%

Tristan Vukcevic — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tristan Vukcevic has played 25.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

25.0
MPG (L5)
18.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Tristan Vukcevic — home vs away scoring

At home Tristan Vukcevic averages 8.9 points per game; on the road, 10.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.9
PPG at home
10.1
PPG on the road

Tristan Vukcevic — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tristan Vukcevic has averaged 14.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ MIA3928115
11 Apr@ CHI261732
9 Aprvs PHI242460
3 Aprvs ORL14710
2 Aprvs SAC221783
31 Marvs MIA221441
29 Marvs BKN24860
27 Marvs IND15421
26 Mar@ PHI231762
24 Marvs TOR241141
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards Points 11.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs 18.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks Rebounds 5.5 Under -139 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tristan Vukcevic (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tristan Vukcevic is Under 18.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards on Monday 16 March at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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