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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaden Hardy is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +28.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 24, 4:15PM UTC
NBA

Jaden Hardy

Washington Wizards

+28.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 3.5 -143 (1.70)
+28.7% Edge
Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
87.5%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+28.7%
Predicted Value
1.9 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers87.5%58.8%1.14+28.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jaden Hardy (Washington Wizards) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-143)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Jaden Hardy steps onto the court in Brooklyn, the betting landscape tilts toward the under on his three-point total. Despite his recent prowess, with an average of 4.6 makes away from home, the numbers tell a different story against the Nets. Historically, he's managed just 2 threes per game in their last three encounters, which suggests a challenging matchup. Moreover, his consistency has been shaky; while he's hit the mark in 14 of his last 20 away games, that doesn't guarantee success against a Nets defense that can stifle perimeter shooters. With his last five outings averaging 3.4 overall, it seems prudent to expect him to fall short of that crucial 3.5 threshold in this tough away game. Betting the under on Hardy's threes feels like the right move, given the circumstances and historical performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.5avg · last 10
L51.2Szn1.3Home1.3Away1.3Best6
1+57%
2+41%
3+22%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.5 · hi 5 · lo 0
0151230120

Jaden Hardy is averaging 1.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.3, best 6). He clears 1+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
10.5avg · last 10
L59.8Szn8.6Home7.1Away9.9Best29
4+69%
9+47%
14+22%
19+10%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 10.5 · hi 22 · lo 0
415226913163170

Jaden Hardy is averaging 10.5 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.6, best 29). He clears 9+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets 3-Pointers 3.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets Points 19.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jaden Hardy (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaden Hardy is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.7% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets on Sunday 5 April at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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