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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaden Hardy is Under 19.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 51%, edge +40.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 7:20PM UTC
NBA

Jaden Hardy

Washington Wizards

+40.5% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 19.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
+40.5% Edge
Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
11.7 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.0% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +40.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points91.0%50.5%1.10+40.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jaden Hardy (Washington Wizards) Under 19.5 Points (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Jaden Hardy heads into this matchup against the Brooklyn Nets, there's a compelling case for betting the under on his points total set at 19.5. Despite averaging 18 points on the road lately, he's struggled significantly against the Nets, putting up just 6 points in their last away meeting. The numbers tell a story: in his last five games against Brooklyn, he's averaged only 10 points, well below the mark we're targeting here.Hardy's overall scoring has also shown a dip, with an average of just 14.4 points in his last five games. The trend is clear; he's hit the under in each of the past four matchups and has been even more muted on the road, with three consecutive unders away from home. Given these dynamics, it seems prudent to expect Hardy to remain below that 19.5 threshold on Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jaden Hardy — 2024-25 season averages

Over 58 games in the 2024-25 season, Jaden Hardy averaged 8.6 points, 1.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists in 15.7 minutes per game, shooting 43.4% from the field and 38.6% from three-point range.

8.6
PPG
1.5
RPG
1.4
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
15.7
MPG
43.4%
FG%
38.6%
3P%

Jaden Hardy — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jaden Hardy has played 19.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

19.0
MPG (L5)
9.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Jaden Hardy — home vs away scoring

At home Jaden Hardy averages 7.1 points per game; on the road, 9.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.1
PPG at home
9.9
PPG on the road

Jaden Hardy — scoring by opponent

Jaden Hardy scores most against the MEM, averaging 13.2 points per game in that matchup.

13.2
MEM
9.5
NO
7.1
MIN
6.5
LAC
5.3
OKC
5.3
SAC

Jaden Hardy — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jaden Hardy has averaged 10.5 points, 1.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Apr@ SAC2000
13 Apr@ MEM341743
11 Aprvs TOR8301
4 Apr@ LAC291655
2 Aprvs ATL221313
31 Marvs BKN19901
29 Mar@ CHI9600
27 Mar@ ORL202230
25 Mar@ NY231520
24 Mar@ BKN13402
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jaden Hardy (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jaden Hardy is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jaden Hardy is Under 19.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +40.5% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets on Sunday 5 April at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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