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The latest Bet Better model pick for Anthony Gill is Under 16.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +22.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:44PM UTC
NBA

Anthony Gill

Washington Wizards

+22.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 16.5 -106 (1.94)
+22.4% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.9%
Implied Probability
51.5%
Model Edge
+22.4%
Predicted Value
12.1 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.9%—51.5%1.35+22.4%

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AI Analysis

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Anthony Gill (Washington Wizards) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards host the Chicago Bulls, Anthony Gill seems primed for a night under the radar. Averaging just 12.6 points and 4.8 rebounds over his last five games, his numbers suggest he's not playing at a level that matches the 16.5 benchmark. At home, those figures dip further to 8 points and 5 rebounds, making it tough to envision him breaking through that threshold against a Bulls team that's been tough on the glass. Historically, Gill has struggled against Chicago, averaging a mere 2.6 points and 1 rebound in their last five encounters. With an impressive hit rate of 16 out of 20 games falling below this line, the signs are clear. If the Wizards are looking to win, it might be better for Gill to focus on defense rather than making a scoring impact. Taking the under on Gill's points plus rebounds could be the smart play tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
5.3avg · last 10
L54.4Szn2.5Home2.6Away2.5Best18
3+39%
8+8%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 5.3 · hi 10 · lo 0
0710104210460

Anthony Gill is averaging 5.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 18). He clears 3+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
8.4avg · last 10
L58.4Szn3.8Home3.9Away3.7Best24
4+43%
9+16%
14+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 8.4 · hi 15 · lo 0
011111553159114

Anthony Gill is averaging 8.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.8, best 24). He clears 4+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Points 11.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Anthony Gill (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Anthony Gill is Under 16.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.4% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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