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The latest Bet Better model pick for Anthony Gill is Under 11.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +22.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 7:04AM UTC
NBA

Anthony Gill

Washington Wizards

+22.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 11.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
+22.6% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.1%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+22.6%
Predicted Value
7.9 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points73.1%50.5%1.37+22.6%

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AI Analysis

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Anthony Gill (Washington Wizards) Under 11.5 Points (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Wizards host the Bulls, keep an eye on Anthony Gill's scoring. Despite an average of 12.6 points over his last five games, his home performance tells a different story-just 8 points per game at Capital One Arena. Facing Chicago, he hasn't exactly thrived either, managing a mere 2.6 points in their last five matchups and slightly better at home with 6.2. With his overall hit rate showing that he's gone under 11.5 in 15 of his last 20 games, this trend continues to suggest a struggle against the Bulls' defense. The implied probability of 50.5% on the under reinforces that many expect him to fall short of that threshold. So, while Gill may be a solid player, the numbers indicate he's more likely to be a quiet contributor on Tuesday night. Betting the under looks like the smart play here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Anthony Gill — 2024-25 season averages

Over 51 games in the 2024-25 season, Anthony Gill averaged 2.5 points, 1.3 rebounds and 0.3 assists in 7.8 minutes per game, shooting 48.9% from the field and 32.3% from three-point range.

2.5
PPG
1.3
RPG
0.3
APG
0.2
SPG
0.0
BPG
7.8
MPG
48.9%
FG%
32.3%
3P%

Anthony Gill — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Anthony Gill has played 17.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

17.0
MPG (L5)
4.4
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Anthony Gill — home vs away scoring

At home Anthony Gill averages 2.6 points per game; on the road, 2.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

2.6
PPG at home
2.5
PPG on the road

Anthony Gill — scoring by opponent

Anthony Gill scores most against the BOS, averaging 5.4 points per game in that matchup.

5.4
BOS
4.2
CLE
3.8
CHI
3.3
MIA
2.6
ORL
2.5
PHI

Anthony Gill — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Anthony Gill has averaged 5.3 points, 3.1 rebounds and 0.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
8 Apr@ IND7040
6 Apr@ BOS22651
3 Aprvs ORL22450
2 Aprvs SAC311051
27 Marvs IND3210
22 Mar@ NY12410
21 Marvs ORL221051
19 Mar@ UTAH241012
17 Mar@ POR21741
13 Mar@ DET0000
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Anthony Gill (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Anthony Gill is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.6% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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