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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Anthony Gill is Under 16.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +21.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Anthony Gill

Washington Wizards

+21.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 16.5 -108 (1.93)
+21.9% Edge
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
73.8%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+21.9%
Predicted Value
12.1 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.8%51.8%1.36+21.9%

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AI Analysis

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Anthony Gill (Washington Wizards) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Wizards gear up to host the Chicago Bulls, targeting Anthony Gill for under 16.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy move. Gill's numbers paint a clear picture: over his last five games, he's averaged just 12.6 points and 4.8 rebounds. At home, those figures dip even further to 8 points and 5 rebounds. Historically, he's struggled against Chicago, averaging only 2.6 points in their last five matchups, and even at home, he's managed just 6.2 against them. With a hit rate of 16 out of 20 for this prop, it's evident that he has consistently come in under this line. Given that the implied probability sits at 51.8%, it's hard to overlook the value in playing the under here. Expect a controlled game where Gill's contributions fall short of what's needed to surpass that threshold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
5.3avg · last 10
L54.4Szn2.5Home2.6Away2.5Best18
3+39%
8+8%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 5.3 · hi 10 · lo 0
0710104210460

Anthony Gill is averaging 5.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 18). He clears 3+ in 39% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
8.4avg · last 10
L58.4Szn3.8Home3.9Away3.7Best24
4+43%
9+16%
14+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 8.4 · hi 15 · lo 0
011111553159114

Anthony Gill is averaging 8.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.8, best 24). He clears 4+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards Points 11.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Anthony Gill (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Anthony Gill is Under 16.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards on Tuesday 7 April at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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