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The latest Bet Better model pick for Anthony Edwards is Under 5.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 66%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +14.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Anthony Edwards

Minnesota Timberwolves

+14.1% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 5.5 -106 (1.94)
+14.1% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Tue 21 Apr, 2:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
65.7%
Implied Probability
51.5%
Model Edge
+14.1%
Predicted Value
4.5 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds65.7%—51.5%1.52+14.1%

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AI Analysis

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Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves roll into Denver, all eyes will be on Anthony Edwards, but don't be fooled into thinking he'll clear 5.5 rebounds. Sure, he has had some success against the Nuggets, averaging 6.2 boards in their last five matchups. However, those stats are a bit misleading. Over the past five games, Edwards has averaged just four rebounds overall-and that number stays steady on the road. In a high-paced game against a rebounding powerhouse like Denver, Edwards could find himself pushed away from the paint as he focuses on scoring. With a hit rate of 3/3 for the under on his rebounds recently, it seems the trend is leaning heavily in our favor. Expect him to fall short of that 5.5 mark, as the Nuggets will likely dominate the glass, limiting his opportunities. It's a calculated play that makes sense given the circumstances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
3.7avg · last 10
L52.8Szn4.0Home3.6Away4.3Best10
2+88%
3+76%
4+61%
5+38%
6+20%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.7 · hi 7 · lo 0
7425501256

Anthony Edwards is averaging 3.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.0, best 10). He clears 4+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
5.2avg · last 10
L54.8Szn4.6Home4.5Away4.7Best12
1+99%
3+82%
5+50%
7+20%
9+5%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 5.2 · hi 9 · lo 0
5908682545

Anthony Edwards is averaging 5.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.6, best 12). He clears 5+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
28.6avg · last 10
L524.8Szn27.5Home26.3Away28.6Best53
18+85%
23+69%
28+49%
33+27%
38+13%
Game log vs O 27.5avg 28.6 · hi 43 · lo 15
43222529431523203630

Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 27.5, best 53). He clears 28+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
33.8avg · last 10
L529.6Szn32.1Home30.9Away33.3Best58
22+89%
27+70%
32+47%
37+30%
42+19%
Game log vs O 31.5avg 33.8 · hi 49 · lo 23
48312537492325254035

Anthony Edwards is averaging 33.8 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 32.1, best 58). He clears 32+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
36.5avg · last 10
L533.2Szn33.4Home32.2Away34.6Best59
23+89%
28+72%
33+49%
38+31%
43+17%
Game log vs O 32.5avg 36.5 · hi 52 · lo 26
49303137522637294034

Anthony Edwards is averaging 36.5 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 33.4, best 59). He clears 33+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
41.7avg · last 10
L538.0Szn38.1Home36.7Away39.3Best64
28+88%
33+67%
38+50%
43+33%
48+16%
Game log vs O 37.5avg 41.7 · hi 58 · lo 31
54393145583439344439

Anthony Edwards is averaging 41.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 38.1, best 64). He clears 38+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
7.9avg · last 10
L58.4Szn5.9Home5.9Away6.0Best14
2+98%
4+86%
6+52%
8+22%
10+9%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.9 · hi 14 · lo 4
686891114944

Anthony Edwards is averaging 7.9 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.9, best 14). He clears 6+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
13.1avg · last 10
L513.2Szn10.6Home10.4Away10.7Best22
5+97%
8+81%
11+43%
14+18%
17+9%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 13.1 · hi 19 · lo 6
11176161519161489

Anthony Edwards is averaging 13.1 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.6, best 22). He clears 11+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.7avg · last 10
L52.2Szn1.2Home1.3Away1.1Best6
1+69%
2+36%
3+11%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.7 · hi 3 · lo 0
3102033302

Anthony Edwards is averaging 1.7 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.2, best 6). He clears 1+ in 69% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Rebounds 5.5 Under -106 ✗ MISS
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Assists 4.5 Under +122 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Rebs + Asts 12.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Points — — — Pending
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Assists — — — Pending
03 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Anthony Edwards is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Anthony Edwards is Under 5.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.1% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Tuesday 21 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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