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Anthony Edwards

Minnesota Timberwolves

+21.9% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Assists Under 4.5 +122 (2.22)
+21.9% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Tue 21 Apr, 2:30AM
Model Probability
66.9%
Implied Probability
45.0%
Model Edge
+21.9%
Predicted Value
3.7 Assists

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 4.5 Assists (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Nuggets, all eyes are on Anthony Edwards, but the numbers suggest it might be wise to temper expectations for his assist totals. Despite a solid average of 4 assists in his last five games, he's been riding the wave of some favorable matchups. In fact, his assists against Denver have dipped to around 5.8 overall and 6 when playing away, but those numbers mask a more concerning trend.In his last three outings, Edwards has hit the under with a perfect 3-for-3 record, casting doubt on his ability to clear 4.5 assists tonight. Given that he's on the road and facing a stout Denver defense that limits playmaking, I see the value in betting on the under here. With an expected stat value of just 3.72 assists, it feels like a prudent move to back the under. Let's see if he can surprise us-though the odds suggest otherwise!

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 60.0% (3/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs 29.5 Over -133 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 9.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Rebs + Asts 5.5 Over -1111 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (3/5). Anthony Edwards is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Anthony Edwards is Under 4.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.9% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Tuesday 21 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.