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Model picks & player props
Indiana Pacers
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:20AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Indoor
Sun 22 Jun 2025, 8:00PM
20
Game Picks
35
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Oklahoma City Thunder -9 (Point Spread)
For Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA), model win probability 88.3%, fair odds 1.13, book price -115, model edge +34.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 22 Jun 2025, 8:00PM at Paycom Center.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder
-9
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Oklahoma City ThunderPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Aday Mara CDay-to-day
  • Bennett Stirtz GDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 10:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tyrese Haliburton Indiana Pacers Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder Blocks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsIndiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City ThunderNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOklahoma City Thunder spreadNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) meet Indiana Pacers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder to winNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) host or visit Indiana Pacers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers. Includes analysis on key players like Pascal Siakam. Discover NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers stats and odds.</p>

Pascal Siakam (Toronto Raptors) Over 1.5 Blocks + Steals (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pascal Siakam has a strong track record that supports this bet. Looking at his last five games, Siakam has averaged 1.4 blocks and 2 steals overall, exceeding the outcome point of 1.5. His performance away from home also aligns well with the bet, averaging 1 block and 1.4 steals. When facing the Oklahoma City Thunder, Siakam's averages remain consistent, with 1.4 blocks and 2 steals overall, and 1.4 blocks and 1 steal in away games. In terms of hit rate, Siakam has exceeded the outcome point in four out of his last five overall games, and three out of his last four away games. These statistics suggest a strong likelihood of Siakam surpassing 1.5 in blocks and steals in the upcoming game against the Thunder.

Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 1.5 Blocks + Steals (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Pascal Siakam to achieve Over 1.5 in Blocks + Steals in the game against the Oklahoma City Thunder is driven by his impressive recent performance statistics. Siakam's average for overall Blocks + Steals in the last five games is 3.4, comfortably exceeding the target of 1.5. More specifically considering Siakam's away games, his average Blocks + Steals is 2.4, again well above the 1.5 benchmark. Furthermore, his performance against this particular opponent, the Thunder, has also been strong with an average of 3.4 Blocks + Steals in the last five encounters, and 2.4 in away games. Finally, Siakam's hit rate provides additional confidence: he has surpassed the 1.5 target in four out of his last five games overall and three out of his last four away games. These statistics collectively provide strong evidence to support the bet on Siakam.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The rationale for placing a bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to get over 4.5 rebounds in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers game is supported by his recent performance data. Gilgeous-Alexander has an expected stat value of 5.76 rebounds, indicating that he's anticipated to exceed the 4.5 rebounds threshold. Moreover, when playing at home versus the Pacers, his average rebounds increase to 5.8. This suggests that he's likely to perform well in this particular matchup. Additionally, his overall hit rate over the last 8 games is 5 out of 8, and his home hit rate in the last 4 games is 3 out of 4, further supporting the expectation that he will surpass the set rebound threshold. Therefore, the statistical data strongly backs the decision to bet on Gilgeous-Alexander achieving over 4.5 rebounds in this game.

Luguentz Dort (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Luguentz Dort to make over 1.5 three-pointers in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers game is supported by several strong statistical indicators. First, Dort's average three-point field goals made in the last five games overall is 2, exceeding the 1.5 threshold. This average increases to 3 when looking at his last five home games, indicating an even stronger performance in home settings. Additionally, Dort's record against the Pacers also supports this bet. He averages 2 three-pointers made in the last five games against this opponent, and this increases to 3.6 in home games. Finally, Dort's home hit rate in the last 20 games is 85% (17 out of 20), further backing the over 1.5 bet. These statistics collectively suggest that Dort is likely to achieve more than 1.5 three-pointers in the upcoming game.

Pascal Siakam (Toronto Raptors) Over 0.5 Steals (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Pascal Siakam for Over 0.5 steals in the game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers is supported by several data points. Looking at his recent performance, Siakam has been consistent in recording steals, with an average of 2 steals per game overall in the last five games, and 1.4 steals per game in the last five away games. This demonstrates his ability to produce steals regardless of the venue. Additionally, when facing the Thunder, Siakam's average remains at 2 steals per game and 1 steal per game when playing in Oklahoma City. Furthermore, Siakam has hit this mark in 3 of his last 4 games overall and in 5 of his last 7 away games. Thus, based on his past performances and consistency, this bet is statistically reasonable.

Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 0.5 Steals (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Pascal Siakam for Over 0.5 steals in the upcoming game against the Oklahoma City Thunder is based on his consistent performance. Siakam's L5 Overall Steals average is 2 and his L5 Away Overall Steals average is 1.4, both significantly higher than the threshold of 0.5 steals. Even when narrowed down to games against the Thunder, Siakam's L5 Steals average remains at 2. His performance in away games is also reliable, with a hit rate of 5 out of the last 7. Furthermore, the expected stat value is 1.1, suggesting that Siakam is anticipated to achieve more than the over point in the upcoming game. Given these statistics, the probability of Siakam achieving over 0.5 steals is high, making this bet a reasonable choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 22 June 2025 at Paycom Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 35 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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