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Model picks & player props
Washington Wizards
VS
Indiana Pacers

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Indoor
Sun 14 Dec 2025, 8:00PM
10
Game Picks
3
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 127.5 (Team Total Points)
For Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers (NBA), model win probability 98.0%, fair odds 1.02, book price -500, model edge +14.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 14 Dec 2025, 8:00PM at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
132.5
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indiana PacersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Wizards

  • Jamir Watkins GDay-to-day
  • Will Riley GDay-to-day
  • Tre Johnson GDay-to-day
  • AJ Dybantsa FDay-to-day
  • Alex Sarr CDay-to-day
  • Anthony Davis FDay-to-day
  • Trae Young GDay-to-day
  • Cam Whitmore FDay-to-day
  • Tristan Vukcevic FDay-to-day

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut
Availability updated Jul 19, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Kyshawn George Washington Wizards 3-Pointers 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Pascal Siakam Indiana Pacers Double-Double 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Pascal Siakam Indiana Pacers Assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsWashington Wizards @ Indiana PacersNo line posted

Indiana Pacers and Washington Wizards combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadIndiana Pacers spreadNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) meet Washington Wizards; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineIndiana Pacers to winNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) host or visit Washington Wizards; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Washington Wizards; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Washington Wizards totalNo line posted

Washington Wizards averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Kyshawn George. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards stats and odds.</p>

Kyshawn George (Washington Wizards) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

This bet is based on Kyshawn George's recent performance data. His average three-point field goals made in the last five games overall is 1.4, and when considering only away games, this number increases slightly to 2. This suggests that he typically makes less than 2.5 three-point field goals per game, especially when playing away, making the 'Under 2.5' bet a logical choice. Furthermore, when playing against the Indiana Pacers, George's average three-point field goals made drops to 2, and even further to 1.5 when playing away against them. The hit rate data also supports this bet, with 4 out of 5 overall recent games and 3 out of 4 recent away games falling under 2.5 three-point field goals made. The statistics indicate a strong likelihood that George will make under 2.5 three-point field goals in the upcoming game.

Pascal Siakam (Toronto Raptors) Over 3.5 Assists (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Pascal Siakam to have over 3.5 assists in the game between the Indiana Pacers and the Washington Wizards is primarily backed by his past performance statistics. Siakam's average assists per game over the last five matchups against the Wizards is 6, well above the 3.5 target for this bet. Additionally, when playing at home against the Wizards, his average assists increase to 4.5. His overall and home hit rates also reinforce the bet, with 4 out of the last 6 games and 2 out of the last 3 home games, respectively, exceeding the 3.5 assists mark. Despite his slightly lower average home assists (3.4), the combination of his performance against this specific opponent and his recent form suggests a reasonable probability of him surpassing 3.5 assists in the upcoming game.

Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 3.5 Assists (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Pascal Siakam to make over 3.5 assists is well-supported by the provided data. Siakam's expected stat value is 4.12, implying that he is predicted to exceed the set total. Additionally, his average assists against the Washington Wizards stands at 6, well above the threshold. Even when focusing on home games, his average assists against the Wizards is 4.5. Looking at Siakam's recent form, he has surpassed the 3.5 assists mark in 4 out of his last 6 games overall and in 2 of his last 3 home games. The overall hit rate at 66.67% and home hit rate at 66.67% further bolster the prediction. Hence, the statistical evidence suggests a high likelihood of Siakam having more than 3.5 assists in this game.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
14 Dec 25 Team Total Points Under 132.5 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Team Total Points Under 127.5 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Moneyline Indiana Pacers ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 14 December 2025 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The model has generated 10 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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