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Model picks & player props
Indiana Pacers
VS
Cleveland Cavaliers

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
2
Game Picks
33
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Indiana Pacers 13.5 (Point Spread)
For Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers (NBA), model win probability 64.7%, fair odds 1.55, book price -106, model edge +13.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Indiana Pacers
13.5
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Indiana PacersPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Tristan Enaruna FDay-to-day
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 12:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Kobe Brown Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kam Jones Indiana Pacers Assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Quenton Jackson Indiana Pacers Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Thomas Bryant Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Quenton Jackson Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsIndiana Pacers @ Cleveland CavaliersNo line posted

Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadCleveland Cavaliers spreadNo line posted

Cleveland Cavaliers (season record) meet Indiana Pacers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineCleveland Cavaliers to winNo line posted

Cleveland Cavaliers (season record) host or visit Indiana Pacers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Cleveland Cavaliers totalNo line posted

Cleveland Cavaliers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Cleveland Cavaliers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Cleveland Cavaliers playing Indiana Pacers. Includes analysis on key players like Micah Potter. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers stats and odds.</p>

Micah Potter (Indiana Pacers) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Micah Potter gears up for this matchup against the Indiana Pacers, the signs suggest he might struggle to hit the boards. While he's been a solid contributor, averaging just 4 rebounds in his last five games and a mere 2.6 on the road, the away environment tends to challenge his game further. Against the Pacers, he's averaged 4.5 boards, but that number spikes to 7 when playing at home-indicating that he thrives in familiar territory. With a recent trend of hitting the under in five straight away games, the odds seem stacked against him collecting over 5.5 rebounds. Given that his expected stat value sits at 4.6 and the overall hit rate is a promising 3-for-3, it looks like a smart play to take the under here. The numbers tell a compelling story, and it's one that leans towards Potter falling short on the glass.

Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) Under 2.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers prepare to face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers, keep an eye on Kam Jones for his rebounding performance. He's been on a tear, but with his current odds set under 2.5 boards, there's a compelling case for the under. Over the last 20 games away, he's hit the under 16 times, showcasing a consistent trend that suggests he's not often a factor on the glass when playing in hostile territory. The Cavaliers, known for their strong defensive rebounding, will complicate Jones' efforts. With an expected stat value hovering around 1.58, it seems the matchup simply doesn't favor him. Plus, with a recent overall hit rate of 5 out of his last 6 games under this mark, it's clear he's more likely to stay below that threshold. Betting the under on Jones' rebounds seems like a savvy move in this matchup.

Thomas Bryant (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-169)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to betting on Thomas Bryant's three-pointers, the under on 1.5 seems like a savvy play, especially with the Cleveland Cavaliers facing the Indiana Pacers. Bryant has been firing blanks from beyond the arc lately, averaging just one three-pointer in his last five games, and shockingly, he hasn't hit a single three at home against the Pacers in those same outings. The matchup is telling; past performances against Indiana have him stuck at a mere 0.2 threes made per game. In fact, his recent form shows he's been an underwhelming 8 for 9 in hitting the under overall, with a perfect 3 for 3 at home. With the Cavaliers looking to tighten up on defense, it's hard to see Bryant breaking out, making the under a compelling option for this game. Don't miss the opportunity to capitalize on this trend!

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA. The model has generated 2 game picks and 33 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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