As the Cleveland Cavaliers prepare to host the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes will be on Evan Mobley, but it might be wise to consider the under on his points total set at 19.5. While Mobley had a strong showing against the Mavericks in their last encounter, averaging nearly 20 points, recent trends tell a different story, especially at home. Over his last five games, he's netted an average of just 18.8 points at home, and his overall average dips to 17.8 during this stretch. The Cavaliers' offense often runs through multiple players, limiting Mobley's scoring opportunities. Moreover, the Mavericks have shown they can effectively contain bigs, allowing Mobley to average only 17 points in their previous matchups. With an expected stat value of 16.38 and an overall hit rate of 67% on the under in his last 12 games, it seems safer to bank on Mobley staying below that 19.5 mark this time
Dennis Schroder (Detroit Pistons) Over 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs we dive into Sunday's matchup between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Dallas Mavericks, Dennis Schroder presents a tantalizing opportunity for the points and rebounds prop. With an average of 13.4 points and 2.8 rebounds over his last five games, he's not just been consistent; he's been impactful, especially against teams like Dallas, where his scoring ramps up to an impressive 15.6 points per game historically.Schroder's recent form has seen him hit the over on this 11.5 line 4 out of his last 5 outings, and his home performances further bolster confidence, with an average of 12.2 points and 1.2 rebounds. The Mavericks' defense has struggled against perimeter players, which could play right into Schroder's hands. Given these trends, expecting him to surpass that 11.5 mark feels not just feasible, but likely. This is a prime spot to back Schroder on Sunday.
Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 10.5 Rebounds + Assists (-143)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Cleveland Cavaliers gear up to host the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes will be on Donovan Mitchell, but not for the reasons you might expect. While he's a dynamic scorer, recent trends suggest we should look at him for an under on his combined rebounds and assists total, set at 10.5. Over his last five games, Mitchell has averaged just 5.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists, falling short of that line. Against the Mavericks specifically, he's averaged 4 rebounds and 5 assists in their last encounters, but those numbers drop slightly at home.With key players around him, the distribution of responsibilities has limited his chances to pile up those stats. Moreover, his recent form shows he's hit the under in five of his last seven outings. Given these factors, betting on Mitchell to stay under 10.5 feels like a savvy play for this matchup.
Khris Middleton (Washington Wizards) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs the Cleveland Cavaliers gear up to face the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes should be on Khris Middleton's rebounding prowess. With a tantalizing line set at just 2.5 rebounds, it's hard to ignore the numbers. Over his last five games, Middleton has averaged 3.6 rebounds, and when playing at home, that number jumps to 4. It's worth noting that he's been a rebounding machine against Dallas, averaging 4.2 boards in their last encounters.What's even more compelling is his recent form-he's hit the over in 12 of his last 13 games, and he hasn't missed a beat at home, going 8 for 8. Given that the Mavericks struggle on the boards, particularly away from home-allowing opponents an average of 2.7 rebounds-this seems like a golden opportunity. Middleton's ability to consistently exceed the 2.5 mark makes this prop a savvy play.