Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Walbert Urena is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Under 4.50 SOlanded 5 of the last 5
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Sep 20, 6:42PM UTC
MLB
Walbert Urena
MLB
Walbert Urena has one live pick today: Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 that pays $168 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-147 (1.68) · $100→$168
Minnesota Twins
@
Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 1:38AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
2.2 Pitcher - Earned Runs
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 48.9% · before adjusting for past results 49.6% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap -10.7%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 49.6% | 48.9% | 59.5% | 1.72 | -10.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/5 |
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Walbert Urena Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-147)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Angels play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Walbert Urena Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-147). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Walbert Urena is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Walbert Urena is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of -10.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels on Friday 18 September at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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