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The latest Bet Better model pick for Walbert Urena is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +29.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 8, 12:05PM UTC
MLB

Walbert Urena

MLB

+29.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -143 (1.70)
+29.8% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Sat 8 Aug, 8:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 468 of 843 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.6%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+29.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs88.6%—58.8%1.13+29.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/5

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AI Analysis

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Walbert Urena Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Miami Marlins play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Walbert Urena Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-143). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.99 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming gameU 2.5 -143

Walbert Urena MLB earned runs. Current line U 2.5 at -143.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Walbert Urena is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Walbert Urena is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins on Saturday 8 August at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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