Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Taj Bradley is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +10.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:08PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+10.8% Edge
Minnesota Twins
@
Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
62.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 72.9% | — | 62.1% | 1.37 | +10.8% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Taj Bradley Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-164)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Milwaukee Brewers play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Taj Bradley Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-164). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Taj Bradley MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.580%
O 5.550%
O 6.520%
O 7.520%
Taj Bradley MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
Taj Bradley MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 50%hit L10
2.6avg earned runs · L5
L2050%
Taj Bradley MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Taj Bradley MLB outs: cleared over 16.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 17 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Taj Bradley is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Taj Bradley is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.8% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday 9 August at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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