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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Taj Bradley is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +22.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:25PM UTC
MLB

Taj Bradley

MIN

+22.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -115 (1.87)
+22.4% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Sun 21 Jun, 7:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.9%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+22.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed75.9%53.5%1.32+22.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Taj Bradley (MIN) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Taj Bradley MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak2L2085%
O 2.590%
O 3.580%
O 4.580%
O 5.550%
O 6.520%
O 7.520%

Taj Bradley MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak3L2090%
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%

Taj Bradley MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
2.6avg earned runs · L5
L2050%

Taj Bradley MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
17avg outs · L5
L2060%

Taj Bradley MLB outs: cleared over 16.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 17 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Taj Bradley (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Taj Bradley is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.4% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday 21 June at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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