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Slade Cecconi

CLE

+14.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -156 (1.64)
+14.4% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Sun 5 Apr, 5:10PM
Model Probability
75.3%
Implied Probability
61.0%
Model Edge
+14.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Slade Cecconi (CLE) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Guardians host the Cubs, all eyes will be on Slade Cecconi, who’s recently been on a solid roll. With an impressive 1.48 predicted earned runs against a line of 2.5, there’s a compelling case for taking the under here. Cecconi’s command has sharpened significantly, allowing him to thrive against a Cubs lineup that’s been inconsistent at the plate. The Guardians’ bullpen has also been formidable, often shutting down opponents late in games. Combine this with the fact that the Cubs have struggled to manufacture runs on the road, and you have a perfect storm for an under performance. Plus, with the Guardians' defense backing Cecconi, it’s tough to envision a scenario where he gives up more than two earned runs. Expect a tight game where runs could be at a premium, making the under a savvy bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Slade Cecconi (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Slade Cecconi is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.4% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians on Sunday 5 April at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.