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MLB

Ryan Mountcastle

BAL

+7.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 2.5 -213 (1.47)
+7.7% Edge
Baltimore Orioles @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego
Wed 3 Sep, 8:10PM
Model Probability
75.7%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+7.7%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) Under 2.5 Total Bases (-213)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ryan Mountcastle for Under 2.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is chosen based on his recent performance data. His last five games show a low overall batting average of 0.4, with a slightly higher away average of 0.6. However, his extra base hits averages are significantly lower, with no triples and no home runs in the last five overall and away games. Even against the Padres, his doubles and triples averages remain at zero. While he has a current hit streak, the lack of extra base hits reduces the likelihood of him achieving over 2.5 total bases. This is further supported by his lack of home runs, which would significantly contribute to total bases. Therefore, the under 2.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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