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MLB

Luis Severino

ATH

+14.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -476 (1.21)
+14.1% Edge
Houston Astros @ Oakland Athletics
RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland
Thu 25 Sep, 7:35PM
Model Probability
96.7%
Implied Probability
82.6%
Model Edge
+14.1%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Luis Severino (ATH) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Luis Severino's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game. In his last five games, he has averaged 4.8 hits allowed, nearly double the line set for this bet. This trend holds true both overall and in away games. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) average is relatively high, at 6.4 overall and 5.6 away, suggesting he spends enough time on the mound to potentially allow more hits. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further support this trend. These streaks indicate a consistent pattern of allowing hits, which makes it statistically likely this pattern will continue. Therefore, based on Severino's recent performance and current trends, betting over 2.5 on Pitcher Hits Allowed is a logical choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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