Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Landen Roupp is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +9.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:17PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 1.5
-164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+9.9% Edge
Detroit Tigers
@
San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
62.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 72.0% | — | 62.1% | 1.39 | +9.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 3/10 |
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Landen Roupp (SFG) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-164)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
San Francisco Giants play Detroit Tigers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Landen Roupp (SFG) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (-164). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Landen Roupp MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.540%
O 3.530%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%
Landen Roupp MLB hits allowedseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.570%
O 1.560%
O 2.530%
O 3.510%
Landen Roupp MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Landen Roupp MLB earned runs: averaging 3.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Landen Roupp MLB outs: averaging 15.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Landen Roupp (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Landen Roupp is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants on Sunday 9 August at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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