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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Landen Roupp is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
MLB

Landen Roupp

SFG

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -1250 (1.08)
+5.1% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Wed 28 May, 5:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.7%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+5.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts97.7%92.6%1.02+5.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Landen Roupp (SFG) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Landen Roupp's performance data clearly supports the bet for over 2.5 strikeouts. Overall, his last five games have seen an average of 6.6 strikeouts, more than double the line set for this bet. Even when considering his away game performance, Roupp still averages 6.4 strikeouts, significantly over the line. His current streak also indicates a consistent high performance, with a 9-game overall hit streak and a 5-game away hit streak. Despite a lower average of 2 strikeouts in his last five games against the Detroit Tigers, Roupp's strong overall and away performance suggests a high likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts. This is further supported by the 92.6% implied probability from the betting data. Therefore, the statistical evidence strongly backs the bet for Roupp to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 5.530%
O 6.530%

Landen Roupp MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.540%
O 3.530%
O 4.550%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Landen Roupp MLB hits allowedseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak2L2070%
O 0.570%
O 1.560%
O 2.530%
O 3.510%

Landen Roupp MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
3.2avg earned runs · L5

Landen Roupp MLB earned runs: averaging 3.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
15.4avg outs · L5

Landen Roupp MLB outs: averaging 15.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Landen Roupp (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Landen Roupp is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco Giants vs Detroit Tigers on Wednesday 28 May at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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