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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Landen Roupp is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 58%, implied 61%, edge +0.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 8:43PM UTC
MLB

Landen Roupp

SFG

+0.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+0.7% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 1:45AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
62 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 62.1% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +0.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs62.1%58.4%61.3%1.72+0.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Landen Roupp (SFG) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Francisco Giants play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Landen Roupp (SFG) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-159). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Landen Roupp is averaging 6.2 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

6.2
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
3.2
Runs
2.0
Walks
6.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Landen Roupp has gone over 2.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.540%
o3.530%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Landen Roupp is averaging 6.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.8 in home games.

6.2
Hits · Overall
4.8
Hits · Home
0.8
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
15 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
15 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Landen Roupp (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Landen Roupp is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.7% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants on Friday 28 August at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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