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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kris Bubic is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +4.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:28PM UTC
MLB

Kris Bubic

KCR

+4.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
+4.3% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Tue 24 Jun, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.7%
Implied Probability
94.3%
Model Edge
+4.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts98.7%—94.3%1.01+4.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Kris Bubic (KCR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kris Bubic for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is grounded in his consistent performance data. Bubic's overall average strikeouts in the last five games is 6.6, significantly higher than the line of 2.5. Also, his overall innings pitched average is 6.1, indicating he spends ample time on the mound to achieve the required strikeouts. Furthermore, Bubic's current overall hit streak stands at five, demonstrating his recent form and consistency. While his home averages are slightly lower, they still exceed the line set for this bet. His home strikeouts average is 4, and he has a home hit streak of three. Despite lower averages against the Rays, Bubic's overall and home performances provide a strong statistical basis for betting on him to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.530%
O 3.530%
O 4.550%
O 5.540%
O 6.510%
O 7.510%

Kris Bubic MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak5
O 2.550%
O 3.540%
O 4.520%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%

Kris Bubic MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Kris Bubic MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
1avg earned runs · L5

Kris Bubic MLB earned runs: averaging 1 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
18.6avg outs · L5

Kris Bubic MLB outs: averaging 18.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kris Bubic (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kris Bubic is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals on Tuesday 24 June at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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