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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kris Bubic is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 98 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 98%, the price says 94%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 5 of the last 10
Over 3.50 SOlanded 5 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 9:26AM UTC
MLB

Kris Bubic

KCR

Value call

Kris Bubic has one live pick today: Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 that pays $106 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
Value call
Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Tue 24 Jun, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
98 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 98.1% · the book's price implies 94.3% · gap +3.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed98.1%—94.3%1.02+3.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Kris Bubic (KCR) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kris Bubic for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Bubic's average hits allowed in the last five overall games is 4.8, which is significantly higher than the line of 2.5. His average hits allowed when playing against the Tampa Bay Rays is even higher at 6. Furthermore, his current hit streak for both overall and home games indicates a continuous trend of allowing hits. Although his home performance shows a lower average of hits allowed at 1.6, it's important to note that his average innings pitched at home is also lower at 3.4. This suggests that if he pitches for a longer duration, the likelihood of him allowing more hits increases. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet for Over 2.5 hits allowed by Kris Bubic.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Kris Bubic is averaging 4.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.8
Hits
0.2
HR
0.0
RBI
1.4
Runs
1.8
Walks
6.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Kris Bubic has gone over 2.5 SO in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.530%
o3.530%
o4.550%
o5.520%
o6.520%
o7.510%
o8.50%
o9.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Kris Bubic is averaging 4.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.6 in home games, including his recent form against TBR.

4.8
Hits · Overall
1.6
Hits · Home
6.0
Hits · vs TBR
0.2
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.5
HR · vs TBR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kris Bubic (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kris Bubic is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Kansas City Royals on Tuesday 24 June at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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