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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin Newman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:53PM UTC
MLB

Kevin Newman

LAA

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1250 (1.08)
+1.5% Edge
Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Wed 4 Jun, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
94.1%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases94.1%—92.6%1.06+1.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Kevin Newman (LAA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Kevin Newman for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Newman's last five games show no stolen bases, whether overall, away, or against the Boston Red Sox specifically. This trend is consistent even when considering caught stealing rates, which are also zero. Despite having impressive hit streaks overall and away, this does not translate into stolen bases for Newman. Therefore, the statistical evidence suggests that it is highly unlikely for Newman to steal a base in the upcoming game against the Boston Red Sox. This data-driven analysis supports the implied probability of 92.6% for this bet, making it a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg hits · L5
O 0.530%

Kevin Newman MLB hits: averaging 0.4 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg total bases · L5

Kevin Newman MLB total bases: averaging 0.4 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg H+R+RBI · L5
Streak2

Kevin Newman MLB hits + runs + rbis: averaging 0.8 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg singles · L5

Kevin Newman MLB singles: averaging 0.4 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kevin Newman (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kevin Newman is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox on Wednesday 4 June at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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