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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Soriano is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 97 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 97%, implied 90%, edge +6.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 1, 5:46AM UTC
MLB

Jose Soriano

LAA

+6.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -909 (1.11) · $100→$111
+6.7% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Wed 10 Sep, 8:07PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
97 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 96.8% · the book's price implies 90.1% · gap +6.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed96.8%90.1%1.03+6.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Soriano (LAA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Soriano for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is a solid choice when considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Soriano has averaged 6 hits allowed overall and 5.2 hits allowed at home. These averages are significantly higher than the 2.5 line set for this bet. Despite performing slightly better against the Twins (1.5 hits allowed on average), Soriano's overall current hit streak is at 4 games, including 2 home games, suggesting a consistent trend of allowing hits. Furthermore, his average innings pitched (IP) and outs are also relatively high, indicating he's often on the mound, increasing the chances for hits. These statistics provide a compelling rationale for betting on Soriano to allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jose Soriano is averaging 6.0 hits, 0.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

6.0
Hits
0.6
HR
0.0
RBI
2.8
Runs
2.8
Walks
4.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Jose Soriano has gone over 2.5 SO in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.570%
o3.570%
o4.560%
o5.530%
o6.520%
o7.510%
o8.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jose Soriano is averaging 6.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.2 in home games, including his recent form against MIN.

6.0
Hits · Overall
5.2
Hits · Home
1.5
Hits · vs MIN
0.6
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs MIN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Soriano (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Soriano is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday 10 September at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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