Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Soriano is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 90%, for a model edge of +6.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 9:34PM UTC
MLB

Jose Soriano

LAA

+6.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -909 (1.11) · $100→$111
+6.7% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Wed 10 Sep, 8:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
96.8%
Implied Probability
90.1%
Model Edge
+6.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed96.8%—90.1%1.03+6.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jose Soriano (LAA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Soriano for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is a solid choice when considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Soriano has averaged 6 hits allowed overall and 5.2 hits allowed at home. These averages are significantly higher than the 2.5 line set for this bet. Despite performing slightly better against the Twins (1.5 hits allowed on average), Soriano's overall current hit streak is at 4 games, including 2 home games, suggesting a consistent trend of allowing hits. Furthermore, his average innings pitched (IP) and outs are also relatively high, indicating he's often on the mound, increasing the chances for hits. These statistics provide a compelling rationale for betting on Soriano to allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jose Soriano is averaging 6.0 hits, 0.6 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

6.0
Hits
0.6
HR
0.0
RBI
2.8
Runs
2.8
Walks
4.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Jose Soriano has gone over 2.5 SO in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.570%
o3.570%
o4.560%
o5.530%
o6.510%
o7.510%
o8.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jose Soriano is averaging 6.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.2 in home games, including his recent form against MIN.

6.0
Hits · Overall
5.2
Hits · Home
1.5
Hits · vs MIN
0.6
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs MIN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jose Soriano (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Soriano is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday 10 September at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.