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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Soriano is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 90%, for a model edge of +6.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:44PM UTC
MLB

Jose Soriano

LAA

+6.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -909 (1.11)
+6.7% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Wed 10 Sep, 8:07PM
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs STL @ LAA
updated Jul 21, 2:00AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
96.8%
Implied Probability
90.1%
Model Edge
+6.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed96.8%—90.1%1.03+6.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Soriano (LAA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Soriano for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is a solid choice when considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Soriano has averaged 6 hits allowed overall and 5.2 hits allowed at home. These averages are significantly higher than the 2.5 line set for this bet. Despite performing slightly better against the Twins (1.5 hits allowed on average), Soriano's overall current hit streak is at 4 games, including 2 home games, suggesting a consistent trend of allowing hits. Furthermore, his average innings pitched (IP) and outs are also relatively high, indicating he's often on the mound, increasing the chances for hits. These statistics provide a compelling rationale for betting on Soriano to allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2080%
O 2.570%
O 3.570%
O 4.560%
O 5.530%
O 6.520%
O 7.510%
O 8.510%

Jose Soriano MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak4L2090%
O 2.590%
O 3.570%
O 4.560%
O 5.520%
O 6.520%
O 7.520%

Jose Soriano MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak24L20100%
O 0.5100%
O 1.590%
O 2.550%
O 3.510%

Jose Soriano MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
2.8avg earned runs · L5
Streak2

Jose Soriano MLB earned runs: averaging 2.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
17.4avg outs · L5
L2070%

Jose Soriano MLB outs: cleared over 15.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 17.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Soriano (LAA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Soriano is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday 10 September at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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