Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joe Ryan is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +29.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:36PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts
Under 5.5
-154 (1.65) · $100→$165
+29.9% Edge
Minnesota Twins
@
Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
OUT
The Twins placed Ryan on the 15-day injured list Friday with a left glute strain.
updated Aug 7, 8:40PM UTC · 2d old
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Implied Probability
60.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Strikeouts | 90.5% | — | 60.6% | 1.10 | +29.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Joe Ryan Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Kansas City Royals play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Joe Ryan Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-154). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Joe Ryan MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted Joe Ryan MLB hits allowed: cleared over 4.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Joe Ryan MLB walks: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Joe Ryan MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Joe Ryan MLB outs: averaging 16.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Joe Ryan is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joe Ryan is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.9% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals on Wednesday 5 August at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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