Jake Fraley (SEA) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the White Sox host the Rays on Thursday, all eyes will be on Jake Fraley and his ability to swipe bases. However, the stats point toward a more cautious night for him. While Fraley has speed, he’s had a tough time against the White Sox’s arms, particularly facing pitchers adept at holding runners close.
The White Sox, boasting a solid defense, have limited stolen bases significantly this season, allowing just a handful per game. In fact, their catchers have been particularly effective at gunning down would-be base-stealers. With Fraley likely to find himself in tight situations, it’s hard to see him successfully stealing multiple bases against this formidable defense.
Considering his recent performances and the White Sox's stingy approach in this department, betting on him to go under 1.5 stolen bases feels like a smart play. With a high implied probability backing this choice, it’s one that makes sense in this matchup.